The three trend lines that can be drawn from the initial point of the trend through each of the retracement extremes are known as Fan Lines.
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Others may use technical analysis principles to set stops.
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Consequently when a trend line of long duration, which has been successfully tested many times, has been violated then an important reversal of trend has likely occurred.
Once he has come up with his evaluation he can determine if he thinks the currency is undervalued or overvalued against a given currency.